Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 54.225002 62.049497 70.094357 78.948836 88.387079 98.115485 108.869982
2026-01-11 41.913894 52.970560 64.915138 78.630462 93.807301 109.965830 128.352799
2026-01-18 34.389869 47.071676 61.306068 78.159729 97.293595 118.100970 142.211344
2026-01-25 29.187196 43.020954 59.091125 78.622344 101.265459 126.304082 155.724137
2026-02-01 24.475440 38.933942 56.315603 77.972220 103.565727 132.290817 166.453199
2026-02-08 20.868902 35.778682 54.297422 77.897723 106.262329 138.505386 177.242772
2026-02-15 17.468846 32.493966 51.809050 76.990464 107.757118 143.157365 186.093628
2026-02-22 15.385271 30.742692 51.071297 78.070206 111.490080 150.306769 197.729631
2026-03-01 13.708090 29.369354 50.682085 79.470513 115.520793 157.738591 209.640699
2026-03-08 11.422025 26.831574 48.556728 78.517054 116.558281 161.540385 217.244167
2026-03-15 9.228829 24.143597 46.022951 76.873204 116.612988 164.069270 223.268148
2026-03-22 8.705649 24.097375 47.135685 79.974279 122.567679 173.668483 237.631305
2026-03-29 7.786077 23.291179 47.133055 81.599548 126.699888 181.127293 249.546259
2026-04-05 6.428971 21.520788 45.615831 81.113210 128.102564 185.242767 257.467318
2026-04-12 5.261186 19.898280 44.194347 80.663594 129.481141 189.275431 265.246113
2026-04-19 4.433957 18.797627 43.481346 81.128989 131.995763 194.672454 274.641822
2026-04-26 3.506776 17.286812 42.018858 80.468461 132.988719 198.149849 281.691508
2026-05-03 2.808463 16.119250 41.014284 80.392485 134.702435 202.489756 289.761847
2026-05-10 2.094960 14.691756 39.472931 79.469317 135.241013 205.323908 295.971731
2026-05-17 1.742647 14.129183 39.342315 80.568015 138.453832 211.500104 306.253210
2026-05-24 1.470924 13.721693 39.446452 81.992740 142.093228 218.209273 317.187867
2026-05-31 1.008015 12.475140 37.979876 81.022677 142.460893 220.755133 322.993712
2026-06-07 0.596449 11.072541 36.102606 79.349986 141.813876 221.969287 327.125684